Wall Street Analysts’ Perspective on Estée Lauder (NYSE: EL): Buy or Sell?

Dec 28, 2023 | Stock Analysis

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE: EL), a prominent player in the global cosmetics industry, has been subject to varied opinions from Wall Street analysts. As of the latest data, the company holds a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” based on the evaluations of 28 analysts over the past year. This rating is composed of 15 hold ratings, 12 buy ratings, and 1 strong buy rating.

    Financial Performance and Market Position

    Estée Lauder’s recent financial performance has shown resilience despite economic headwinds. The company reported sales of $3.61 billion, marginally surpassing the previous year’s figure of $3.56 billion and exceeding estimates of $3.47 billion. This indicates a stable revenue stream, albeit with a slight per-share loss of $0.09, which was worse than expected. Such a loss could be attributed to several factors, including but not limited to increased costs, investment in growth opportunities, or market fluctuations.

    Despite the per-share loss, the company’s historical performance and brand strength are noteworthy. Estée Lauder has been a significant name in the cosmetics industry since the 1940s, and its public offering in 1995 marked a turning point, signaling its commitment to growth and shareholder value. With a market capitalization of $51 billion and a current stock price of $143.61 as of December 20, 2023, the company demonstrates a robust market presence.

    Valuation and Stock Price Forecast

    Estée Lauder’s stock price has experienced volatility, with a significant drop from highs around $255 in early June 2022 to $140 per share, which is 52% below the level seen in March 2021. Despite this decline, there is a sentiment among some analysts that the stock is undervalued. An estimate by Forbes suggests a valuation of $159 per share, indicating a substantial 52% upside from its current levels.

    Analysts’ Recommendations

    The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should consider a “moderate buy” for EL shares, with a rating score of 2.50 and an upside potential of 23.2%, targeting a price of $178.00. This recommendation is underpinned by the belief that the company’s current challenges are temporary and that its strong fundamentals and brand equity will drive future growth.

    Legal Considerations and Investor Sentiment

    Investors should be aware of legal proceedings involving Estée Lauder. The company has been the subject of investor concerns, and those who have suffered losses exceeding $100,000 between August 18, 2022, and May 2, 2023, are being called upon to discuss their legal rights. Such legal issues could potentially affect investor sentiment and the stock’s performance in the short term.

    Conclusion

    Based on the available data and the prevailing sentiment among Wall Street analysts, Estée Lauder Companies stock is currently seen as a “Moderate Buy.” The company’s recent sales figures, historical brand strength, and potential undervaluation suggest that the stock holds promise for growth and recovery from its current price levels. While the short-term challenges and legal concerns present risks that must be carefully weighed, the consensus suggests that the stock’s fundamentals may provide a buffer against these headwinds.

    Investors considering Estée Lauder Companies stock should perform their due diligence, taking into account the company’s financial performance, market position, valuation, and the broader economic environment. As always, individual investment decisions should align with personal financial goals and risk tolerance.

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