What’s Ahead in the Markets This Week: Key Earnings to Watch

Sep 2, 2024, 12:30AM | Investment Ideas

This week, the financial markets are poised for significant movements driven by key earnings reports from major tech companies such as Broadcom (AVGO), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Zscaler (ZS), and Samsara (IOT), alongside notable retailers like Dollar Tree (DLTR), Big Lots (BIG), and Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS). This report delves into the expected financial outcomes, underlying trends, and potential market implications of these earnings announcements.

Broadcom (AVGO): Riding the AI Wave

Financial Expectations and Market Sentiment

Broadcom is set to release its fiscal Q3 2024 earnings on September 5, 2024. Analysts predict earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $12.96 billion, marking a 46% year-over-year increase. This growth is largely driven by the surging demand for Broadcom’s custom AI processors, which contributed $3.1 billion in revenue in the previous quarter. The company has consistently outperformed Wall Street’s earnings expectations over the last four quarters and has raised its fiscal 2024 revenue forecast to $51 billion.

Analysis and Implications

Broadcom’s robust performance is underpinned by a 280% year-over-year increase in AI revenue, highlighting the company’s strategic positioning in the burgeoning AI market. JPMorgan’s forecast of a $150 billion cumulative AI revenue opportunity over the next four to five years further underscores Broadcom’s growth potential. With a forward P/E ratio of 27 and a PEG ratio of 0.76, the stock appears undervalued relative to its growth prospects.

Actionable Insight: Investors should consider maintaining or increasing their positions in Broadcom, given its strong growth trajectory and undervaluation. However, they should also monitor the earnings call for updates on new AI chip customers, which could further bolster the stock’s outlook.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE): Strengthening AI and Hybrid Cloud Solutions

Financial Expectations and Market Sentiment

HPE is expected to report its Q3 2024 earnings with a non-GAAP EPS forecast between $0.43 to $0.48 and revenue guidance of $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion. The company’s Q2 2024 revenue was $7.2 billion, up 4% year-over-year, with AI systems revenue more than doubling sequentially to over $900 million.

Analysis and Implications

HPE’s focus on AI and hybrid cloud solutions, particularly through its GreenLake platform, positions it as a leader in enterprise AI. The company’s collaboration with Nvidia to integrate AI solutions further enhances its competitive edge. Despite a decrease in diluted EPS in Q2 2024, the rising free cash flow and strong market presence indicate solid financial health.

Actionable Insight: Investors should consider HPE as a long-term investment, given its strategic focus on AI and hybrid cloud solutions. The upcoming earnings report will be crucial in assessing the company’s progress in these areas.

Zscaler (ZS): High Growth with High Valuation

Financial Expectations and Market Sentiment

Zscaler is set to report its fiscal Q4 2024 earnings on September 8, 2024, with expected revenue growth of 24% to 25% and EPS between $0.69 and $0.70. For the full fiscal year, the company targets an EPS of around $3.00, reflecting a 68% increase from the previous year.

Analysis and Implications

Zscaler’s dollar-net-retention ratio of 116% and the increase in accounts generating over $1 million in ARR highlight strong customer retention and growth. However, the stock’s high valuation of 66 times the projected EPS for 2024 suggests caution. The market’s optimism about Zscaler’s AI integration into its cybersecurity solutions, especially following its acquisition of Avalor, adds to the growth narrative but also heightens expectations.

Actionable Insight: While Zscaler’s growth prospects are promising, potential investors should approach with caution due to the high valuation. It may be prudent to wait for the earnings report to assess the company’s ability to meet high market expectations.

Samsara (IOT): Steady Growth Amidst Market Volatility

Financial Expectations and Market Sentiment

Samsara is expected to report its earnings on September 5, 2024, with a forecasted EPS of $0.01 and revenue of $289.35 million, representing a 31.97% year-over-year increase. For the entire year, the company is projected to achieve earnings of $0.13 per share and revenue of $1.21 billion.

Analysis and Implications

Samsara’s consistent revenue growth and ability to exceed analysts’ expectations in previous quarters indicate a strong market position. However, the company’s high PE ratio of -82.50 and trading range between a 52-week low of $21.48 and a high of $42.49 suggest significant market volatility.

Actionable Insight: Investors should monitor Samsara’s earnings report closely. While the company’s growth trajectory is positive, the high volatility and negative PE ratio warrant a cautious approach.

Dollar Tree (DLTR): Navigating Retail Challenges

Financial Expectations and Market Sentiment

Dollar Tree is set to release its Q2 2024 earnings on September 4, 2024, with an expected EPS of $1.04 and projected revenue of $7.51 billion. The company has experienced a significant stock decline of 15% over the past month, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500.

Analysis and Implications

Dollar Tree’s focus on low-margin consumables and increased traffic due to inflationary pressures have impacted margins. The company’s plan to close approximately 600 Family Dollar locations and focus on growth in the Dollar Tree segment indicates a strategic shift to enhance long-term returns.

Actionable Insight: Investors should be cautious with Dollar Tree, given its recent underperformance and strategic challenges. The upcoming earnings report will be critical in assessing the effectiveness of the company’s strategic initiatives.

Conclusion

This week, the financial markets are set to be influenced significantly by the earnings reports of major tech companies and retailers. Broadcom’s strong AI-driven growth, HPE’s strategic focus on AI and hybrid cloud solutions, Zscaler’s high growth potential amidst high valuation, Samsara’s steady revenue growth, and Dollar Tree’s strategic challenges present a mixed but insightful picture for investors.

Forward-Looking Statement: As we move through the week, investors should closely monitor these earnings reports and market reactions. The tech sector, in particular, will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, given its significant growth prospects and the broader economic implications of AI and cybersecurity advancements. Adopting a balanced investment strategy that considers both growth potential and market risks will be essential in navigating the financial landscape this week.

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